Coaching practices for I'm About to Reason Through Something Where Honestly I Already Badly Want One Particular Answer to Be True and I Can Feel That Wish Sitting There Ready to Tilt the Whole Thing Before I've Even Looked at the Facts

Describe almost anything you are working through and IX Coach finds the practices whose real-world fit is closest. For I'm About to Reason Through Something Where Honestly I Already Badly Want One Particular Answer to Be True and I Can Feel That Wish Sitting There Ready to Tilt the Whole Thing Before I've Even Looked at the Facts, these are the strongest matches in the current practice library.

Does this sound like the set of challenges you might be facing?

  • I’m about to reason through something where, honestly, I already badly want one particular answer to be true
  • If I’m honest, I knew where I was going to land before I’d looked at anything
  • Once I’ve made up my mind, I notice I only ever see the evidence that proves me right and the rest just slides past me
  • I’ve already decided what’s going on and I’m about to act on it
  • A flimsy study that confirms what I want I’ll wave straight through, but a solid one that contradicts me I’ll pick apart for hours

Practices that may help

  1. Distinguish directional from accuracy goals before you start
    Before reasoning about something, ask whether you are trying to reach a specific answer or the correct one.
    Motivated Reasoning
  2. Catch yourself working backward from a conclusion
    Notice when the conclusion appeared before the evidence — and treat that as a red flag.
    Motivated Reasoning
  3. Consider the opposite
    Actively argue the case against your first conclusion before accepting it.
    Thinking, Fast and Slow, Made Usable
  4. Test conclusions before acting on them
    Treat your conclusion as a hypothesis and find one piece of evidence that would confirm or disconfirm it.
    The Ladder of Inference
  5. Apply the same evidence standard regardless of whether you like the conclusion
    Grade the evidence before you know which conclusion it supports.
    Motivated Reasoning
  6. Evaluate evidence by its likelihood ratio, not by how it makes you feel
    Ask how much more likely this evidence would be if you’re right versus if you’re wrong.
    Bayesian Thinking: How to Update Beliefs Rationally
  7. Ask "why this and not that?"
    Explain why a fact is true rather than a plausible alternative.
    Elaborative Interrogation: Ask "Why Is This True?"
  8. Actively seek evidence that would prove you wrong
    Ask what would change your mind — and then look for it.
    The Scout Mindset
  9. Set the constraint: what conclusions would you not accept?
    Pre-define which conclusions would be embarrassing, then monitor whether your reasoning is steering away from them.
    Motivated Reasoning
  10. Surface and test underlying assumptions
    Identify the implicit assumptions that your reasoning depends on and test whether they hold.
    Socratic Questioning

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