Use reverse brainstorming to find failure modes
Ask "how would we make this fail?" instead of "how do we make this succeed?"
Why it works
Forward brainstorming (how to succeed) tends to reinforce the plan’s existing direction, because the team is already oriented toward the goal. Reversing the question — actively generating ways to make the plan fail — activates different associations and removes the optimism bias that forward planning carries. People who would hesitate to raise a risk directly often surface it enthusiastically when framed as sabotage.
How to do it
- State the goal of the plan, then ask: "If we were trying to ensure this fails as completely as possible, what would we do?"
- Generate failure modes without filtering — the point is quantity and imagination, not realism yet.
- Then reverse: for each failure mode, ask "does any part of our current plan accidentally do this?"
- The overlaps between the sabotage list and the current plan are the risk priorities.
Evidence
Reverse brainstorming is a practitioner technique in design thinking and risk management. The underlying mechanism — that negation activates different knowledge structures — is consistent with creativity research, though the specific technique is not independently well studied. (mechanistic)
Mechanistic rationale is sound; whether reverse brainstorming outperforms well-facilitated forward brainstorming or pre-mortem analysis in real settings has not been directly compared.
Common mistake
Filtering failure modes during generation ("that wouldn’t really happen") rather than letting the list be messy first. The filtering step comes after generation; premature filtering is what causes teams to miss their actual vulnerabilities.
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More practices for Red Teaming: Stress-Testing Plans Before They Fail
- Appoint an explicit devil’s advocate role
Give one person the formal job of arguing against the plan — making dissent structural, not personal.
- Map and stress-test your key assumptions
Before executing, list the assumptions the plan depends on — then ask which ones would kill it if wrong.
- Simulate the adversary’s response to your move
Assign someone to genuinely think and plan as your competitor, not just describe them.
- Combine the pre-mortem with red team pressure
Run a pre-mortem and then ask the red team to find the failure mode the team missed.
- Require the plan to change, not just the risk register
A red team exercise that doesn’t change the plan has accomplished nothing.
Related concepts
- Decision Journaling: Learning to Decide Better Over Time
How to build a personal feedback loop for the decisions that actually matter
- Survivorship Bias: Learning from What You Can’t See
The invisible graveyard of failures — and how to reason from the full distribution
- The Eisenhower Matrix for Teams
Adapting the urgent/important split for shared priorities, delegation, and team alignment