Coaching practices for How to Identify Plan Failures
Describe almost anything you are working through and IX Coach finds the practices whose real-world fit is closest. For How to Identify Plan Failures, these are the strongest matches in the current practice library.
Does this sound like the set of challenges you might be facing?
- When I ask myself "what could go wrong with this plan," I either draw a blank or come up with one vague worry
- I’m all-in on this plan and can barely make myself imagine it going wrong
- I’m about to commit real time and money to this plan, and it looks solid
- My whole plan is a chain where every link has to hold
- My plan feels solid until I notice it quietly depends on a whole stack of things just going my way
Practices that may help
- Run the basic pre-mortem
Assume the plan failed, then have everyone write down why.
The Pre-Mortem: Imagine It Already Failed - Run a pre-mortem from the outside-view perspective
Imagine the project has failed — then ask which base-rate failure type caused it.
The Outside View - Run a pre-mortem before committing to a plan
Imagine the plan has already failed and ask what went wrong.
Confirmation Bias: Seeing What You Expect to See - Design decisions so they work even if some things go wrong
Ask: does this plan require everything to go right? If so, redesign it.
Margin of Safety - Name the assumptions that must hold for the plan to work
Every plan rests on assumptions — list them and ask how likely each one is.
Margin of Safety - Run a pre-mortem to interrupt forward narrative construction
Before committing to a plan, imagine it failed completely — then generate the most plausible story of why.
The Narrative Fallacy: Why We Can’t Stop Making Stories - Review and update action plans at a fixed weekly cadence
An action plan that is not reviewed weekly becomes stale — regular review keeps the plan matched to current reality.
Action Planning - Audit plans for scenario inflation
Before committing to a plan that depends on multiple things going right, count the dependencies.
The Conjunction Fallacy — When "More Details" Feels More Likely - The premortem (imagine the project already failed)
Before starting, assume the plan has already failed and ask why — then fix it now.
Premeditatio Malorum, in Depth - Map and stress-test your key assumptions
Before executing, list the assumptions the plan depends on — then ask which ones would kill it if wrong.
Red Teaming: Stress-Testing Plans Before They Fail
Related concerns
- Find The Flaw In Your Plan
Assume the plan failed, then have everyone write down why.
Run the basic pre-mortem
- Find Flaws In Your Plan
Before starting, assume the plan has already failed and ask why — then fix it now.
The premortem (imagine the project already failed)
- How To Find Plan Weaknesses
Before executing, list the assumptions the plan depends on — then ask which ones would kill it if wrong.
Map and stress-test your key assumptions
- How To Find Risks In A Plan
Every plan rests on assumptions — list them and ask how likely each one is.
Name the assumptions that must hold for the plan to work
- Imagine The Plan Failed
Assume the plan failed, then have everyone write down why.
- When Outside View Pre Mortem Outside View
Imagine the project has failed — then ask which base-rate failure type caused it.
Run a pre-mortem from the outside-view perspective
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