Coaching practices for I'm All in on This Plan and Can Barely Make Myself Imagine it Going Wrong and When I Do Force it I Dream Up Dramatic Disasters Instead of the Boring Ordinary Way Things Like This Usually Quietly Fall Apart
Describe almost anything you are working through and IX Coach finds the practices whose real-world fit is closest. For I'm All in on This Plan and Can Barely Make Myself Imagine it Going Wrong and When I Do Force it I Dream Up Dramatic Disasters Instead of the Boring Ordinary Way Things Like This Usually Quietly Fall Apart, these are the strongest matches in the current practice library.
Does this sound like the set of challenges you might be facing?
- I’m all-in on this plan and can barely make myself imagine it going wrong
- I’m all in on this plan and the success story in my head is so vivid I can already taste it
- I’m about to commit to this plan and on paper it looks solid, but a quiet part of me suspects I’m too sold on it to see the holes
- When I ask myself "what could go wrong with this plan," I either draw a blank or come up with one vague worry
- My plan only works if a whole chain of things all go right
Practices that may help
- Run a pre-mortem from the outside-view perspective
Imagine the project has failed — then ask which base-rate failure type caused it.
The Outside View - Run a pre-mortem to interrupt forward narrative construction
Before committing to a plan, imagine it failed completely — then generate the most plausible story of why.
The Narrative Fallacy: Why We Can’t Stop Making Stories - The premortem (imagine the project already failed)
Before starting, assume the plan has already failed and ask why — then fix it now.
Premeditatio Malorum, in Depth - Run the basic pre-mortem
Assume the plan failed, then have everyone write down why.
The Pre-Mortem: Imagine It Already Failed - Audit plans for scenario inflation
Before committing to a plan that depends on multiple things going right, count the dependencies.
The Conjunction Fallacy — When "More Details" Feels More Likely - Run a pre-mortem before committing to a plan
Imagine the plan has already failed and ask what went wrong.
Confirmation Bias: Seeing What You Expect to See - Design decisions so they work even if some things go wrong
Ask: does this plan require everything to go right? If so, redesign it.
Margin of Safety - Run a premortem before committing
Imagine the decision has already failed — then ask why.
Thinking in Bets - Run a premortem before committing
Imagine the project has already failed and work backwards to find why.
The Planning Fallacy — Why Your Estimates Are Always Wrong - Combine mental contrasting with an if–then plan (MCII)
Fantasize about success, then vividly imagine the key obstacle, then write the if–then — the sequence matters.
If–Then Planning, Made Practical
Related concerns
- Find Flaws In Your Plan
Before starting, assume the plan has already failed and ask why — then fix it now.
The premortem (imagine the project already failed)
- Find The Flaw In Your Plan
Assume the plan failed, then have everyone write down why.
Run the basic pre-mortem
- How To Identify Plan Failures
Assume the plan failed, then have everyone write down why.
- How To Plan For Failure
Assume the plan failed, then have everyone write down why.
- Imagine The Plan Failed
Assume the plan failed, then have everyone write down why.
- When Confirmation Bias Pre Mortem For Plans
Imagine the plan has already failed and ask what went wrong.
Run a pre-mortem before committing to a plan
Describe your situation in your own words to search the complete practice library.