Coaching practices for Red Teaming Stress Testing Plans Before They Fail After a Loss

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Does this sound like the set of challenges you might be facing?

  • We did the exercise where we imagined it failing and listed why, but I have a nagging sense the most likely way this actually goes wrong is something nobody was willing to say out loud in the room
  • We ran a real critique of the plan, found genuine holes, wrote them all down in a nice risk list
  • My whole plan quietly rests on a handful of things I’ve just taken for granted
  • When I ask my team how to make this succeed they just reinforce the direction we’re already pointed, but I have a hunch that if I flipped it and asked how we’d deliberately sabotage this thing, the risks they’re too polite to raise would come pouring out.
  • I want someone to come at this plan with the explicit job of tearing it apart

Practices that may help

  1. Combine the pre-mortem with red team pressure
    Run a pre-mortem and then ask the red team to find the failure mode the team missed.
    Red Teaming: Stress-Testing Plans Before They Fail
  2. Red Teaming: Stress-Testing Plans Before They Fail
    Red teaming is the practice of assigning someone — or a structured thinking process — to actively try to break your plan, identify its assumptions, find adversarial responses, and surface the failure modes that optimism and groupthink suppress. It originated in military and intelligence contexts and is now used in corporate strategy, security, and product development. The evidence for its effectiveness is largely organizational and practitioner-based rather than from controlled trials.
  3. Require the plan to change, not just the risk register
    A red team exercise that doesn’t change the plan has accomplished nothing.
    Red Teaming: Stress-Testing Plans Before They Fail
  4. Map and stress-test your key assumptions
    Before executing, list the assumptions the plan depends on — then ask which ones would kill it if wrong.
    Red Teaming: Stress-Testing Plans Before They Fail
  5. Use reverse brainstorming to find failure modes
    Ask "how would we make this fail?" instead of "how do we make this succeed?"
    Red Teaming: Stress-Testing Plans Before They Fail
  6. Red-team your plan with a formal adversarial review
    Assign someone the explicit role of finding every way your plan could be wrong or fail.
    Confirmation Bias: Seeing What You Expect to See
  7. Simulate the adversary’s response to your move
    Assign someone to genuinely think and plan as your competitor, not just describe them.
    Red Teaming: Stress-Testing Plans Before They Fail
  8. Appoint an explicit devil’s advocate role
    Give one person the formal job of arguing against the plan — making dissent structural, not personal.
    Red Teaming: Stress-Testing Plans Before They Fail
  9. Run a pre-mortem from the outside-view perspective
    Imagine the project has failed — then ask which base-rate failure type caused it.
    The Outside View
  10. Write reasons independently before discussing
    Everyone records failure causes alone first, so the room doesn’t converge too soon.
    The Pre-Mortem: Imagine It Already Failed

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