Coaching practices for I'm About to Commit Real Time and Money to This Plan and it Looks Solid but it Looking Solid is Exactly What Scares Me Because I Know That's the Moment I Stop Seeing How it Could Blow Up
Describe almost anything you are working through and IX Coach finds the practices whose real-world fit is closest. For I'm About to Commit Real Time and Money to This Plan and it Looks Solid but it Looking Solid is Exactly What Scares Me Because I Know That's the Moment I Stop Seeing How it Could Blow Up, these are the strongest matches in the current practice library.
Does this sound like the set of challenges you might be facing?
- I’m about to commit real time and money to this plan, and it looks solid
- I’m about to commit to this plan and on paper it looks solid, but a quiet part of me suspects I’m too sold on it to see the holes
- I’m excited about this plan and so committed to it that I can’t honestly see what might sink it
- My plan feels solid until I notice it quietly depends on a whole stack of things just going my way
- I’m about to commit to this plan and I can feel how badly I want it to work
Practices that may help
- Run a pre-mortem before committing to a plan
Imagine the plan has already failed and ask what went wrong.
Confirmation Bias: Seeing What You Expect to See - The premortem (imagine the project already failed)
Before starting, assume the plan has already failed and ask why — then fix it now.
Premeditatio Malorum, in Depth - Run a premortem before committing
Imagine the decision has already failed — then ask why.
Thinking in Bets - Name the assumptions that must hold for the plan to work
Every plan rests on assumptions — list them and ask how likely each one is.
Margin of Safety - Steelman objections to your own plans
Before committing to a plan, state the strongest case against it in its most compelling form.
Steelmanning - Run a pre-mortem to interrupt forward narrative construction
Before committing to a plan, imagine it failed completely — then generate the most plausible story of why.
The Narrative Fallacy: Why We Can’t Stop Making Stories - Run a premortem before committing
Imagine the project has already failed and work backwards to find why.
The Planning Fallacy — Why Your Estimates Are Always Wrong - Invoke the outside view before committing to any significant plan
Before finalizing a plan or forecast, ask "How did similar things go?" as the first checkpoint.
The Outside View - Design decisions so they work even if some things go wrong
Ask: does this plan require everything to go right? If so, redesign it.
Margin of Safety - Run the basic pre-mortem
Assume the plan failed, then have everyone write down why.
The Pre-Mortem: Imagine It Already Failed
Related concerns
- Find Flaws In Your Plan
Before starting, assume the plan has already failed and ask why — then fix it now.
The premortem (imagine the project already failed)
- When Premeditatio Malorum Premortem
Before starting, assume the plan has already failed and ask why — then fix it now.
- When Thinking In Bets Run A Premortem
Imagine the decision has already failed — then ask why.
Run a premortem before committing
- Find The Flaw In Your Plan
Assume the plan failed, then have everyone write down why.
Run the basic pre-mortem
- When Narrative Fallacy Pre Mortem Anti Narrative
Before committing to a plan, imagine it failed completely — then generate the most plausible story of why.
Run a pre-mortem to interrupt forward narrative construction
- When Outside View Pre Mortem Outside View
Imagine the project has failed — then ask which base-rate failure type caused it.
Run a pre-mortem from the outside-view perspective
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