Coaching practices for Structured Evidence Evaluation

Describe almost anything you are working through and IX Coach finds the practices whose real-world fit is closest. For Structured Evidence Evaluation, these are the strongest matches in the current practice library.

Does this sound like the set of challenges you might be facing?

  • A flimsy study that confirms what I want I’ll wave straight through, but a solid one that contradicts me I’ll pick apart for hours
  • I’m leaning hard on the evidence that lines up with what I want to be true and brushing off the rest
  • I start "researching" a question but I notice I’m really just typing in searches that hand me the answer I already wanted
  • The story hangs together so neatly
  • Someone stated something with total confidence and I just nodded and built on it

Practices that may help

  1. Apply the same evidence standard regardless of whether you like the conclusion
    Grade the evidence before you know which conclusion it supports.
    Motivated Reasoning
  2. Evaluate evidence by its likelihood ratio, not by how it makes you feel
    Ask how much more likely this evidence would be if you’re right versus if you’re wrong.
    Bayesian Thinking: How to Update Beliefs Rationally
  3. Structure the analysis before searching for evidence
    Define what you’re looking for and what would count as evidence before starting your search.
    Confirmation Bias: Seeing What You Expect to See
  4. Identify which features are actually diagnostic
    Separate features that genuinely differentiate categories from ones that just complete the picture.
    The Representativeness Heuristic — Judging by Resemblance
  5. Probe for evidence behind claims
    Ask "what evidence supports that?" before accepting any factual or evaluative claim.
    Socratic Questioning
  6. Build branches that are MECE at every level
    Ensure each set of branches is mutually exclusive (no overlap) and collectively exhaustive (nothing important missing).
    Issue Tree Analysis
  7. State your prior probability before seeing the evidence
    Before looking at any data, commit to a numerical estimate of how likely something is.
    Bayesian Thinking: How to Update Beliefs Rationally
  8. Group supporting ideas into mutually exclusive, collectively exhaustive buckets
    Organize your three to five supporting points so they don’t overlap and together cover the argument completely (MECE).
    The Minto Pyramid Principle
  9. Practice elenchus — cross-examine your own beliefs
    Pick one confident belief and interrogate it as Socrates would: What do you mean? How do you know? What would refute it?
    The Socratic Method, Made Practical
  10. Rate the strength of each logical link
    Assign a confidence to each "supports" or "rebuts" link, not just to the conclusion.
    Argument Mapping

Related concerns

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