Intuitive Prediction: Biases and Corrective Procedures
Intuitive Prediction: Biases and Corrective Procedures is a book chapter by Daniel Kahneman, Amos Tversky (1982 in its publication record; cited on IX Coach as 1979), published by Judgment under Uncertainty. IX Coach's practice library cites it in 3 practices across 3 concepts; each one is listed below, so you can see exactly where this book chapter is put to use.
Where to find it
Practices on IX Coach that cite Intuitive Prediction
- Identify the right reference class for your situation
Find a well-defined set of past situations that are structurally similar to yours and collect their outcome data.
Reference Class Forecasting
- Estimate conservatively and act on the conservative number
When uncertain, use a pessimistic estimate as your working assumption — not your best guess.
Margin of Safety
- Deliberately underschedule your day to prevent expansion cascade
Leave 20–30% of your workday unscheduled as buffer for tasks that expand beyond their box.
Parkinson's Law, Made Practical
How this page was checked
- The citation was matched to its Crossref record, and the title, authors and year above are taken from that record — not written by us.
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